Incumbents up for election in these three states are independents. IE 11 is not supported. [32], In January 2023, with the question of Feinstein's re-election decision still up in the air, Democratic U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced she would run for Senate. columns: 3; "It . The latest coverage of the 2024 presidential, House and Senate elections. [46] The three also launched super PACs to aid with fundraising, each competing for the top California fundraising firms and consultants. West Virginia. The 2022 Senate race in Nevada was one of the most competitive of last year's midterm elections. The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. January 24, 2023: Initial Ratings. [115], U.S. } An early look at key 2024 Senate races and candidates As Democrats look to expand their 50-50 Senate majority in November, they have an even tougher election cycle on the horizon in 2024. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Whether the 80-year-old President Joe Biden is mostly unpopular among young voters, or equaling his best-ever. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. A fter a 2022 Senate election that had Republicans defending more seats, Democrats will be on the defense for 23 of the 34 seats up for election in 2024.. Of the seats open in the next cycle . [2] U.S. representative Jim Banks is running,[94] while former representative Trey Hollingsworth and state Attorney General and 2018 Senate candidate Todd Rokita are all seen as potential candidates for the Republican nomination to succeed Braun. State Attorney General Austin Knudsen and businessman Tim Sheehy are also considered potential Republican candidates.[116][117]. The Democrats' 2024 Senate problem - Roll Call [6][88] Should Carper retire, U.S. Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE) and Governor John Carney are both seen as potential candidates for the Democratic nomination, with Rochester having already expressed interest. -moz-columns: 3; External Relations: Moira Delaney Hannah Nelson Caroline Presnell [77] and solar panel manufacturer Jim Lamon[78] are considering running for the Republican nomination. After the elections, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. | Further, Democrats are defending seats in six states that Biden won by a single-digit margin (Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, and Maine) while Republicans are defending only two seats in states that Trump won by a single-digit margin (Florida and Texas). -webkit-columns: 3; Policy: Christopher Nelson Caitlin Styrsky Molly Byrne Jimmy McAllister Samuel Postell 2024 United States Senate elections - Wikipedia Im thinking about it. Senators are divided into three classes whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Since the time she joined forces with the NAACP to become her high school's first Black cheerleader, Barbara Lee's progressive leadership has been shaped by a lifetime of organizing. -webkit-columns: 1; There was also speculation that Feinstein might face opposition within the Democratic Party as she did in 2018, when she was challenged by fellow Democrat Kevin de Len and defeated him by an unexpectedly narrow margin. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. [52], State Senator Matt Dolan[53] and businessman Bernie Moreno[131] are running for the Republican nomination. [130], Three-term Democrat Sherrod Brown was re-elected in 2018 with 53.4% of the vote. Im definitely running., Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) in an interview. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast. Additionally, California's top-two primary system may allow two Democrats to advance to the general election, a scenario that played out in the 2016 and 2018 Senate races. 2024 United States elections - Wikipedia She was elected to full terms in 1994, 2000, 2006, 2012, and 2018, and will be retiring in 2025 at the end of the 118th Congress. Sasse resigned from the U.S. Senate on January 8, 2023, to become president of the University of Florida.[1][2][3]. Early action electrifies 2024 Senate battle - POLITICO [133], Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was re-elected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. [120][121][122][123][124], Three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was re-elected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. [99], Democratic consultant David Costello has announced he is challenging King. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. [145][142], Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was re-elected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote. She is running for re-election. Former Lieutenant Governor (2003-2007), former chair of the Republican National Committee, and Republican nominee for the Senate in 2006, Michael Steele is also seen as a potential candidate. Am I undecided? U.S. Senate : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, it's bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. Democratic U.S. I think thats the responsible thing to do, said Sen. Angus King (I-Maine), who caucuses with Democrats and picked up a Republican-held seat in 2012. However, she has yet to make an official announcement. 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia - Wikipedia Right now in the Senate, I remain focused on the issues that matter most to Arizonans: getting inflation under control, creating good paying jobs, and addressing our water crisis, not campaign politics., Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) in a statement. Cardin's communications director, Sue Walitsky, tells The Associated Press that the 79-year-old plans to release a statement saying he will not seek reelection. We show the 'Battleground' races as toss-up until the forecaster issues an actual rating later this year. Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, its bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. I hope some of them do because I want to keep Catherine Cortez Masto and Gov. He is running for reelection to a second term. The GOP Is Trying To Tilt Montana's Senate Race In Its Favor. The initial 2024 Senate ratings from Split Ticket. [102], Former state delegate Robin Ficker has filed paperwork to run for the Republican nomination. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 49 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. These progressives are trying to make it happen", "Republican Sheriff Mark Lamb of Arizona announces run for Senate", "2024 Senate map is a GOP dream. [87] He has said "the options are wide open" on whether he runs again. Its a personal decision. Cruz is running for a third-term despite advocating for congressional term limits. January 24, 2023:Initial ratings. West Virginia. All 33 Class 1 Senate seats and one Class 2 seat are up for election in 2024; Class 1 currently consists of 20 Democrats, 3 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats, and 10 Republicans. NOTE: At this early point in the cycle, Inside Elections is categorizing each Senate race as either 'Solid' or 'Battleground'. Former U.S. He intends to run for a third-term despite previously hinting that he may retire. She announced she would not caucus with Republicans. (ret.) [119], One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. Hirono is running for a third term. [90][91], Former U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy,[92] former U.S. Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and state Senator Shevrin Jones are seen as potential Democratic candidates. You can separately choose how to count each independent for purposes of determining majority control. announced that he would be running for Senate in 2024 with the hopes of making it through a Republican primary to challenge Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin.. [47] The expensive nature of the race has led media sources to speculate that a wealthy candidate may decide to launch a self-funded campaign, akin to Rick Caruso's campaign in the 2022 Los Angeles mayoral election. AOC not planning to run for Senate in 2024: report - USA Today Kunce lost in his 2022 bid for the Senate but is running again in 2024 in hopes of defeating Republican incumbent Sen . [42] However, all three have faced controversies that could damage their campaigns: Porter has been accused of mistreating congressional staff, Lee's age is seen as a potential issue, and Schiff is expected to face opposition from progressives due to his past support for overseas military intervention and for taking donations from groups affiliated with the oil, payday loan, and pharmaceutical industries, though he has declared he will not accept funds from corporate PACs in his Senate campaign. [86] Possible Republican candidates include lobbyist Robert Hyde and lawyer Peter Lumag. [33], Two weeks later, Porter was joined by another Democratic member of the House, Adam Schiff, who said he had consulted with Feinstein before entering the race. Secretary of State Frank LaRose and U.S. Representative Warren Davidson[132] are also considered possible Republican candidates. First published on Sun 30 Apr 2023 10.53 EDT. The election will fill the Class I Senate seat held by Kyrsten Sinema (independent), who first took office in 2019. The primary is August 6, 2024. I feel like Im accomplishing something. Filed under 2024 . The map and table below shows what seats are up for election and the current incumbent in each race. Sinema said she would not caucus with Republicans and kept the committee assignments she had as a member of the Democratic caucus.[4]. . [148] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Others have gotten there. Calvin Coolidge's (R) first term began in August 1923 after the death of President Warren Harding (R), who was first elected in 1920. When counted with a party, the map will display a striped result. Brown is one of three Democratic senators up for re-election in states that Donald Trump won in both 2016 and 2020, alongside . So, no decision.. 2024 Senate Elections - FiveThirtyEight .split-cols-c-list { Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch [74] 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake, 2022 Senate nominee Blake Masters,[75] attorney Karrin Taylor Robson,[76] 2022 Attorney General nominee Abraham Hamadeh, A FiveThirtyEight Chat. [3] A moderate Democrat who unseated incumbent Republican James Rogan in 2000, Schiff's profile rose significantly during the presidency of Donald Trump, owing to Schiff's role as a lead impeachment manager in the first impeachment of Donald Trump, his service on the January 6 Committee, and his frequent appearances on MSNBC. [140][141], One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. [106], Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. On May 1, 2023, Cardin announced he is not running for reelection. As of April 2023, 21 senators (15 Democrats and six Republicans) have announced plans to run for re-election. Here's where the Senate map stands 18 months before Election Day 2024. We will add to this as more forecasts become available. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. Jim Justice announces run for Senate, setting up potential challenge to Manchin", "Joe Manchin gets a GOP challenger for his West Virginia Senate seat", "GOP candidates, voters rally in Weirton", "Tammy Baldwin launches re-election bid, setting up 2024 Senate battle in Wisconsin", "Sinema switches to independent, shaking up the Senate", "Sinema files campaign papers, but re-election decision unclear", "Key senators torn over retirement decisions as party leaders try to fortify 2024 standing | CNN Politics", "Kyrsten Sinema 'Staggeringly Vulnerable' in 2024 After Filibuster Vote", "Could Sen. Kyrsten Sinema face a primary? Ricketts and Air Force Veteran John Glen Weaver have declared their candidacies for the Republican nomination. | POLITICO illustration/Photos by AP, Getty Images, iStock. Republicans seeking a Senate majority in the 2024 election have one clear early advantage: an unusually favorable map. Use it to create and share your own Senate forecast. What do the 2022 midterms mean for 2024? - brookings.edu [7] In the two previous Senate election cycles that coincided with presidential elections (2016 and 2020), only one senator (Republican Susan Collins of Maine in 2020) was elected in a state that was won by the presidential nominee of the opposite party.[8]. 43%. I'm definitely running, said Jacky Rosen. United States Senate elections, 2024 - Ballotpedia Ohio. Youre not my vector for an announcement.. 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia - Wikipedia No. January 27, 2023: Initial Ratings. The 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Maryland.The Democratic and Republican primary elections will be held on May 14, 2024. At the moment, the only assumed Democratic retirement is 89-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who has not announced any plans. Rosen is running for a second term. Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 33 regular elections on November 5, 2024, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2025. This cycle Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) is retiring from his safe seat, a move that opens up both his job as the chambers longest-serving member and his Appropriations Committee gavel. On May 1, 2023, he announced that he would not be seeking . Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. From being the only Member of Congress to take a courageous vote against giving George W Bush unlimited war powers in 2001 to her pathbreaking leadership fighting for investments in peace, climate action, cannabis legalization, fair housing, abortion rights, and moreI am proud to call Barbara Lee a colleague, a mentor and a friend. [26], Potential Republican challengers include lawyer and 2022 House nominee April Becker, businessman and 2022 Senate candidate Sam Brown, state Senate Minority Leader Heidi Gansert, reality television personality Rick Harrison, and venture capitalist Guy Nohra. Three United States Senators are not seeking re-election to their U.S. Senate seats (not including those who left office early): !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;rThe 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 | CNN Politics Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. (I-Vt.) said it was too early to talk about whether he might run for reelection. The 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of West Virginia.Incumbent Senator Joe Manchin was first elected in a 2010 special election to complete the term of fellow Democrat Robert Byrd, who died in office.He won his first full term in a landslide in 2012 and was narrowly re . Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. Representatives Barbara Lee,[21] Katie Porter,[24] and Adam Schiff[81] have announced that they are running for the seat. The 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arizona. [37] A longtime progressive first elected in a 1998 special election, Lee is known for being the only member of Congress to vote against the Authorization for Use of Military Force of 2001, which led to military deployment in Afghanistan and several other countries. On January 20, 2023, Kaine confirmed he is running for reelection to a third term. But when she does, these contenders have the best shot at her seat", "California Senate race gets crowded with 3 progressive Democrats already in the running", "Mayor London Breed opposes her extra year in office", "Dianne Feinstein will not seek re-election, ending pioneering political career", "Sen. Dianne Feinstein announces she will retire from Congress", "Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna announces he won't seek California Senate seat, endorses Rep. Barbara Lee", "Eleni Kounalakis first to launch campaign for California governor in 2026", "California's 2024 U.S. Senate race could be a hot one", "Mayors London Breed and Sheng Thao endorse Barbara Lee for U.S. Senate at Oakland rally", "Rep. Katie Porter announces bid for Dianne Feinstein's Senate seat", "GOP attorney Eric Early announces Senate campaign", "Long Beach RWF to welcome future Senate candidate Denice Gary Pandol to June 11 breakfast meeting", "James Bradley FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Peter Yuan Liu FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Barack Obama Mandela FEC Statement of Candidacy", "California Republicans, buoyed by congressional wins, have no obvious Senate prospects", "Larry Elder enters 2024 presidential race", "California Republicans will have rare power in 2024. Democrat Kristin Hedger, a businesswoman and nominee for North Dakota secretary of state in 2006 has filed paperwork to run for Cramer's seat. [5], The map for these elections, like in the previous Class 1 Senate election in 2018, is considered by elections analysts to be unfavorable to Democrats, who will be defending 23 of the 33 seats of Class 1. Return here to share it. 2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin The eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 | The Hill One special election is also scheduled for November 5, 2024. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings. -moz-columns: 1; Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the House, will also be held on this date. On February 14, 2023, Feinstein announced that she will not seek re-election to a sixth term.[80]. 1. Progressive Hawaii Sen. Mazie Hirono is running for reelection, spokesperson Maddy Russak said. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) said that I think Im gonna run for re-election, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said shes made it very clear shes running again, and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) said running again is my goal. Margin; WY: John Barrasso: R: R+43.4: WV: [100], Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was re-elected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP). Im definitely running, said Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), who ousted a GOP incumbent in 2018. Representatives Matt Rosendale and Ryan Zinke have expressed interest in challenging Tester. [134][135][136][137], Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. [45] However, all three candidates quickly began raising large sums of money; for example, in the first 24 hours of her campaign, Porter raised over $1.3 million. ", "Angus King readies 2024 campaign that would make him Maine's oldest senator", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/01/cardin-not-running-for-reelection-00094653, "Raskin gets top Democratic slot on U.S. House Oversight Committee", "Cardin raises just $29K in late 2022, fueling speculation about his political plans", "Elizabeth Warren, 73, announces Senate re-election campaign | Fox News", "Once Baker's heir apparent, Karyn Polito will leave office with him. [2][3][4] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term. The best way for Democrats to survive 2024s lopsided Senate map is to get as many of their battle-tested incumbents as possible to run again, and on that front, there is a bright side: In-cycle members in Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan all plan to seek another term in 2024. Ruben Gallego is a Democratic Party candidate for office. - The Boston Globe", "Rep. Elissa Slotkin entering race to succeed retiring Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow | CNN Politics", "The Good Doctor actor Hill Harper weighs run for U.S. Senate in Michigan", https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/30/politics/senate-race-rankings-may-elections/index.html, "Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024", "GOP Rep. John James won't seek Michigan's open Senate seat", "Mississippi Republican State Rep. Dan Eubanks files FEC paperwork to primary incumbent #MSSen Roger Wicker", "Columbia activist talks about her bid for U.S. Senate", "Sen. Jon Tester to seek re-election in 2024", "Tester will seek reelection, bolstering Dems in 2024", "Senate Republicans close to landing top recruit in Montana", "Senator Ben Sasse (R-Nebraska) officially resigned at 12:00 Noon today. Media sources speculated for years that Dianne Feinstein might choose not to seek re-election in 2024 or resign before the end of her term, owing to her age, reports that her cognitive state was declining, and her decision not to take the position of Senate president pro tempore in the 118th Congress, third in line for the presidency, even though she would have been customarily offered the role as the most senior member of the majority caucus. And I havent gotten to that point yet., I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. [44], Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, has announced a run for the Democratic nomination in order to challenge Fischer. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. By Nathaniel Rakich. The last elections for this group of senators were in 2018, except for those elected in a. Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to being an independent in December 2022. I feel great. The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio.Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running for reelection to a fourth term in office. [70], Due to Sinema's opposition to some of President Joe Biden's agenda, she is considered vulnerable to challengers from the Democratic Party,[71] with U.S. Representative Ruben Gallego running for the Democratic nomination. [61], Two-term Democrat Tim Kaine was re-elected in 2018 with 57.0% of the vote. [1] Two Democratic U.S. Polls ending April 24, 2023 President: general election, 2024 April 23, 2023 President: general election, 2024 April 21, 2023 President: general election, Texas, 2024 April 20, 2023. Beyond the battleground map and quadrennial allure of the presidential race, retirements can shake up the structure of the Senate. As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map.
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