A pugnacious leftist, Lpez Obrador was the architect of the first so-called recall referendum in modern Mexico, describing it as vital to confirm his democratic mandate. The wild card in this particular electoral round is that there may not be enough cash to pay more voters as a counterbalance to Mexicos now-angry middle classes, who may come out to vote in mass on principle. Reporters asked DeSantis about his lagging poll numbers. MEXICO CITY (AP) Four candidates are in the race to become Mexico's next president in Sunday's election. In the order in which the current president seems to prefer them, they are: Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum; current Secretary of the Interior Adn Augusto Lpez; and Secretary of State Marcelo Ebrard. 26 Apr 2023 17:59:59 Originally from Tabasco, AMLOs home state, the relationship between the two goes beyond politics. in a situation where it cannot fulfill its duties, said Lorenzo Crdova, the leader of the electoral agency. Your guide to the most important world stories of the day. Luis Antonio Rojas for The New York Times. Mexicos general election is a day off for workers in Mexico. And just how far will Washington go in supporting Taiwan? That is especially true for the Morena party, which was largely built around Lpez Obrador. The presidents critics pointed to the low overall turnout as anything but a mandate for Mr. Lpez Obrador and his efforts to transform the country. [9] At the start of August 2021, after the corruption trial referendum, Lpez Obrador insisted that he himself would promote the recall election. Politics, Business & Culture in the Americas. [2], The 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected by two methods; 300 are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, with the remaining 200 elected in a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation, with seats allocated using the simple quotient and largest remainder method. Former President Lzaro Crdenas, one of Lpez Obrador's heroes, delighted Mexicans when he expropriated the largely foreign-owned, privately operated oil industry on March 18, 1938. Two books peel back the curtain on the central bankbut miss why it misread the economy in the wake of the pandemic. [5] Gerardo Fernndez Noroa, a representative from PT, has on multiple occasions expressed his desire to be the standard-bearer for the president's coalition in 2024. e General elections are scheduled to be held in Mexico in July 2024. The question on everyones lips is who its nominee will be. One-stop digest of politics, economics, and culture. Lpez Obrador, whose grievances with the INE date back to his failed 2006 and 2012 presidential bids, said these changes would guarantee clean and free elections. The referendum is typical of Mr. Lpez Obradors governing style. "Theres not been any thing set," he said. Which perspective has more value? DeSantis, long viewed as Trumps strongest Republican challenger in 2024, has traveled far outside Florida in recent weeks to raise his profile. a legislative overhaul of Mexicos National Electoral Institute (INE) in late February. [3], The 128 members of the Senate are also elected by two methods, with 96 elected in 32 three-seat constituencies based on the states and 32 elected in a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation. The irony is that Lpez Obrador was elected to succeed an unpopular president from the Institutional Revolutionary Party, which ran Mexico for most of the time from its revolution more than a century ago until a couple of decades back. National Institute for Statistics and Geography. Although Mr. Lpez Obrador fell far short of the 40 percent participation required to make the results count, marshaling more than 15 million people across the country to vote in his favor underscores his ability to mobilize his base at a time when his governments achievements are under scrutiny. [7] In December, once endorsed by 17 state congresses, the decree was published in the Official Journal of the Federation. Brazil was able to regain its democratic footing following Bolsonaros aborted insurrection on Jan. 8. In the three-seat constituencies, two seats are allocated to the party receiving the highest number of votes and one seat to the party receiving the second-highest number of votes. 3 clues to track and his approval rating isn't one of them, Donald Trumps Republican support erodes in Iowa, even as many remain committed, RNC chair says 2024 GOP candidates must sign pledge to participate in debates, Former governor on White House campaign: 'Why not me? Nine out of ten Mexicans voting on Sunday in an unprecedented recall election engineered by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador backed him to stay in office, underlining his . A Morning Consult poll out Tuesday had Trump with a 37 percentage-point lead on DeSantis, his biggest margin to date. Tens of thousands march against Mexico president's proposed overhaul of Although Ebrard has been a loyal Lpez Obrador follower since the early days of his presidency, interestingly he is not registered officially within the Morena party. ", "ESTUDIO ENTREGADO POR MASSIVE CALLER RELATIVO A LA REVOCACIN DE MANDATO 2022", "ESTUDIO ENTREGADO POR TRESEARCH RELATIVO A LA REVOCACIN DE MANDATO 2022", "AMLO arranca 2022 con cada en aprobacin; baja a 60%", "Hay alternativas a la consulta de revocacin de mandato? Although the nations Supreme Court has said political parties cannot advertise the recall, Ms. Sheinbaum had spent weeks furiously campaigning in support of the vote, which was seen as a chance for the mayor to recover from the partys losses last year. Once the president is elected, she or he takes office on Inauguration Day on December 1. Alberto Martnez, 59, said he hoped Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum would be the party's nominee. Trump is fighting Democrats, DeSantis is fighting a mouse, said a member of the Florida GOPs state executive committee who supports DeSantis running for president. As the next presidential elections draw nearer, the broader backdrop is discouraging. That is why its crucial that Mexicans channel these civil society protests electorally when the time comes, he said. But as the initial results began rolling in, it became clear that Ms. Sheinbaums efforts seemed to have fallen short: Despite ubiquitous advertising and consistent promotion from the mayor, the participation rate in Mexico City was not among the top five states. So is it really about the numbers? Former Vice President MikePence andFlorida Governor Ron DeSantis are expected to enter the Republicanarenaas well both have made recent visits to Iowa, where the GOP's first primary contest will being held. MEXICO CITY -- Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador held a massive rally in Mexico Citys main plaza attended by tens of thousands of people Saturday. (Required). Lopez Obrador's successor is scheduled to be elected in June 2024. MEXICO CITY After a successful showing in gubernatorial elections in June, Mexicos ruling MORENA party is turning its attention to the 2024 presidential elections. The final outcome may yet alter the political mood in Mexico, showing the president and his party which parts of the country, and which potential successors, will be most important to securing the presidency in 2024. A second operative said the meetings signal a likely presidential launch sooner than some expect, even as DeSantis has increasingly faced headwinds and fledgling poll numbers in recent months. For the rich, it awards the big federal construction and service contracts, although AMLO has gone out of his way to alienate many corporate leaders and has favored but a few, starting with billionaire Carlos Slim. [10] To this end, later in that month, the leader of the senators for the governing party Morena, Ricardo Monreal vila, signaled that he would look for an extraordinary period of the Congress to address the regulation of the recall process with the proposal Federal Law of Revocation of Mandate and seeking to eliminate the phrase because of loss of confidence from the proposal. According to Mexico's constitution, the president is elected every 6 years. : 3 clues to track and his approval rating isn't one of them. Left: Demonstrators march against the electoral reform proposed by Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador and in support of the National Electoral Institute (INE) in Mexico City, Mexico . Such is the case with Ricardo Anaya of the Partido de Accin Nacional (PAN), who ended up in second place to AMLO in 2018. As long as institutions are being undermined by personalistic or caudillo-like figures, I think the vulnerability of democratic gains will continue to be the trend, Berthin said. Americans vote for a new president every four years, as outlined in the U.S. Constitution. But theres also an important strand of criticism from economists arguing that however well-meaning the Biden administrations policies may be, they are destined to backfire because they are essentially protectionist and could lead to a dangerous subsidies race. Coming out of the referendum, the president and his backers will be able to point to the overwhelming support for Mr. Lpez Obrador and his political project among his base, even at a moment of weakness. Watchthe full discussion on video orreada lightly edited and condensed transcript, exclusive to FPInsiders. But the next three weeks could be among the most crucial in shaping the contours of the U.S. presidential race. Its obvious that almost all of the elements of this reform are unconstitutional, Castaeda said. Two other Republicans ex-South Carolina Gov. It was proposed by Lpez Obrador himself during his candidacy in the 2018 election and requested by opponents and supporters of his government. On Sunday, almost 18 percent of the electorate cast their ballot, far less than was needed for the result to become binding, making the outcome largely symbolic. Matt Dixon is a senior national politics reporter for NBC News, based in Florida. With the INE reforms, Lpez Obrador is making it easier for incumbents and their parties, like his Morena coalition, as well as other groups to challenge electoral outcomes if they dont like them, Rudman said. DeSantis political team did not reply to a request seeking comment, but at a news conference in Israel on Thursday morning, he responded to NBC News' reporting. Opinion | Who will be Mexico's next president? AMLO has too much say (Anaya denies the charges and notes he was no longer in the Chamber of Deputies when the vote took place.) Instead, like so much in the countrys polarized politics these days, the vote became one more trench from which each side of the political spectrum could do battle. The Race Begins for Mexico's Next President The Current One Has Too Much to Say,, the countrys middle class, accusing them of being ambitious, selfish and determined to succeed at any cost.. Among the worst-performing countries in the region are Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba, and most recently, Haiti. The default username below has been generated using the first name and last initial on your FP subscriber account. This is a movement that began a long time ago, he said. Voting lines were several blocks long at a poll in Mexico City. Presidential elections and congressionalmidterm elections are always held in even numberedyears (e.g. Can AMLOs Popularity Survive a U.S. It also comes amid the backdrop of his continued fight with Walt Disney World, one of the states largest employers, which angered the governor last year by opposing legislation aimed at banning the discussion of gender identity or sexual orientation up to the third grade. In weakening democratic institutions, incumbents across the Americas in recent elections have made desperate attempts to strengthen or perpetuate their grasps on power. Were going to end up making it pretty much around the world by the time were done. Privacy & Terms. Mexico's Largest Election Ever Is Also One Of Its Deadliest : NPR 2022 Mexican presidential recall referendum, LXIII Legislature of the Mexican Congress, "Mxico: Autoridad electoral aprueba convocatoria para revocacin de mandato", "Mexican presidential recall referendum wins enough support: poll body", "El pueblo pone, el pueblo quita: AMLO propone revocacin de mandato", "Revocacin de mandato no es reeleccin: presidente AMLO", "AMLO rechaza buscar reeleccin en Mxico y se compromete a referendo revocatorio", "Senado aprueba Revocacin de Mandato; "huele a reeleccin", acusan panistas", "Publican en el DOF disposiciones sobre consulta popular y revocacin de mandato", "AMLO plantea adelantar revocacin de su mandato para 2021", "Lpez Obrador anuncia referendo revocatorio de su mandato", "Revocacin de mandato: Monreal empuja extraordinario para modificar la pregunta", "Impide oposicin nuevo periodo extra para ley de revocacin", "Lpez Obrador resiste el desgaste y mantiene una aprobacin del 59% a las puertas de la revocacin de mandato", "Si hoy fuera la consulta de revocacin de mandato, AMLO sigue o se va? Mexico Voters Back Lpez Obrador to Stay in Office in Recall Election AMLO Reaffirms His Power In The Regional Elections - Latinamericanpost Usernames may be updated at any time and must not contain inappropriate or offensive language. Weekly update on whats driving U.S. national security policy. If you find an error, please let us know. What a New York court case revealed about the war on drugs. And just how far will Washington go in supporting Taiwan? I agree to abide by FPs comment guidelines. Even though the gap between the countries that improved and the countries that declined in our report this year has declined for the first time in 17 years, the larger trend of backsliding continues, said Gerardo Berthin, vice president of international programs at Freedom House.
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